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The end of Mayan Calendar has been defined as happening
on the 21st of December, and many around the world have been
anticipating it for months or even years. This is an abstract moment to
which we humans have attached importance, making it meaningful.
The voices of those who imagine apocalypse have become
somewhat muted, and more of what I hear as the day comes
near, are invitations; opportunities to connect; information about
meditations to join; and synchronous singing to celebrate possibility.
Those voices are saying is that love is alive
and well, and that we should look forward to the day. Whether or not there are any "big
changes" as many predict, we will have come to attention more than is
usual, and that can't be bad.
The formal hypothesis test is complicated
because there are so many events that are set and proselytized.
Indeed, there are so many that we can make the event definition
simple, including them all by setting the formal
specification to span the times we know people will be engaged. As
time allows, we can do some more pointed analyses in the
exploratory mode, just to see how they look. So, the formal GCP event
will be more than 24 hours, beginning two hours before noon UTC on
the 21st, and ending at 20:00 UTC on the 22nd.
Google search can be used to locate events, including lots of efforts
to sell either the fearsome "end of the world" scenarios, or the
"dawn of a new age" propositions. Below is a collection given by the
Shift Network, which lists something happening in most time zones.
I'm sure there are other things
earlier on the 21st and later on the 22nd, but this will do for our
study.
02:00 am PST (10:00 UTC 21 Dec) to include 11:11, a mystical moment
10:00 am (18:00 UTC) for 30 mins 8000 Yogic Flyers South America
12:00 am (20:00 UTC) for 3 mins First wave of Global Unification
14:00 pm (22:00 UTC) for 15 mins Ise Oluwa synchronized song
16:00 pm (00:00 UTC 22 Dec) Teotihuacan drumming, 700 drums
18:00 pm (02:00 UTC) Qigong broadcast
20:00 pm (04:00 UTC) World Peace Prayer, Mt Fuji Japan
22:30 pm (06:30 UTC) One Billion Oms, India
12:00 am (08:00 UTC) Midnight Breathe As One, LA
02:00 am (10:00 UTC) Muslim prayers to Mecca
04:00 am (12:00 UTC) Findhorn in Scotland
06:00 am (14:00 UTC) Various events South America
08:00 am (16:00 UTC) Hebrew prayers, Jerusalem
10:00 am (18:00 UTC) Unity Village Chapel prayers, Missouri
12:00 noon (20:00 UTC) Final Wave, Global Birth Moment Agape Center LA
The GCP formal event is set for 10:00 UTC on the 21st to 20:00 UTC on
the 22nd. The result is Chisquare 122898.933 on 122400 df for p = 0.157
and Z = 1.008.
It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny
statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish
signal from noise. This means that every "success" might be
largely driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real
signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can
be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of
similar analyses.
I did one exploratory analysis, per request, of the TM meditations
including 8000 yogic flyers, and this is shown in the following graph.
Again, single events cannot provide reliable, interpretable results, but
may suggest trends.
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