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On June 4, 2003, a meeting of the prime ministers of Israel and
Palestine was brokered by President Bush and hosted by the King of
Jordan. To the extent it appeared to be a successful intervention to
mitigate or move toward ending the terrible months and years of
violence, this seemed to be a global event. The media anticipated it with
strong interest, and the people of the region, presumably, with some
hope.
The Aqaba summit will take place at King
Abdullah of Jordan's palace in the city. It
will open with a meeting between Sharon and
U.S. President George Bush. Next, Bush will
meet with Palestinian Prime Minister Mahmoud
Abbas (Abu Mazen) while Sharon meets with
Abdullah. At noon, the four leaders will
hold a joint meeting, after which they will
read their concluding statements.
Getting accurate timing was difficult, but I believe the summit meeting began
roughly at noon, with the principals' concluding
speeches about 13:00, local time.
Since the import of the meeting for the world is primarily in the
implications, I decided that we would look at several hours after the
meeting per se, specifically, 12 hours beginning with the
tripartite meeting itself.
The analytical result is 43435 on 43200, corresponding to p = 0.212.
The trend of
the composite data trace (red) beginning at noon is negative, but
around 7:00 in the evening, it reverses, and runs strongly positive for
the rest of the day until midnight local time.
In an exploration, I extracted the data from our single egg in Israel,
and plotted it (green) for comparison. It is quite dissimilar, with a
positive trend for the first four hours beginning at noon, followed by a
steady negative trend for the later part of the day.
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