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Burning Man 2013

From "the burning blog", Sept 1, by Michael Holden:

"...for the sake of reference, scale and sheer wow factor, Cargo Cult’s Burning Man was on top of the largest base ever: A giant UFO. Look at those two people in the shade in the left side of the photo…."

And from the annotation of a photograph of the Man at the beginning of the burn: "The Burning Man starts to sparkle at 9:34 PM"

The main event was on the Saturday before Labor Day, August 31st this year, and the location in the Nevada desert. The exact time of the burning varies from year to year depending on conditions. This year, the burn was expected to begin at about 9:30 PM Pacific time, and the actual Ignition was exactly at 9:34. The Burning Man collapsed 15 minutes later at 9:49.

The GCP event was set for 6 hours beginning at 9:00 local time, August 31. (04:00 to 10:00 UTC Sept 1). The result is Chisquare 21876.008 on 21600 df, for p = 0.093 and Z = 1.326.

This analysis is corrected by removing a rotten egg.

Burning Man 2013

It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish signal from noise. This means that every "success" might be largely driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of similar analyses.


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