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I received a note from Eckhard Etzold that briefly gave
notice of the tragic episode in Germany.
Sadly, the infection of random violence in schools is not confined
to the United States. On 26 April, at
about 11:00, an angry student began shooting people and before
killing himself, he had killed 18
teachers, staff, and fellow students, and torn a substantial rent in
the social fabric of trust.
I made a formal prediction for GCP response during the period
from 11:00 in Germany which is 09:00 GMT, extending for three
hours to 12:00 GMT. This period was modeled on the similar
tragedy in Littleton, Colorado.
The result shows an unusually ragged looking trace, with a final
cumulative Chisquare of 10977 on 10800 df, and p = 0.115.
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