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The death of Hugo Chavez was proposed as a formal GCP event by Michael
Duggan, who suggested an 8 hour period beginning half an hour before the
announced time of death at 20:55 UTC. From ABC news:
Hugo Chavez, Venezuela's fiery and controversial socialist president who
came to power on wave of popular sentiment and befriended some of the
world's most notorious dictators, has died at the age of 58, Venezuelan
Vice President Nicolas Maduro said today.
Chavez had been fighting cancer, recently seeking treatment at a clinic
in Cuba.
A self-described champion of the poor who first tried to overturn
Venezuela's powerful elites in a failed 1992 coup, Chavez was
democratically elected in 1999, with huge support from the country's
poor.
During his time in office, he became one of Latin America's most
well-known and polarizing figures. A constant thorn in the side of the
United States, he commanded headlines in newspapers around the world. A
populist who suppressed free speech, he remained immensely popular among
his country's poor.
From the time he won election in 1999, Chavez held onto power through
tightly controlling the media and through a series of populist elections
and referenda, including one that allowed him to seek a limitless number
of terms.
The GCP event is from 20:25 UTC on the 5th to 04:25 on the 6th of March.
The result is 28699.386 on 28800 for p = 0.662 and Z = -0.417.
It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny
statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish
signal from noise. This means that every "success" might be
largely driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real
signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can
be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of
similar analyses.
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