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Japan are FIFA Women's World Cup champions for the
first time after a penalty shootout victory over USA,
following a drama-charged 2-2 draw in Frankfurt.
Defender Saki Kumagai had the honour of hitting home the
decisive spot-kick as Japan triumphed 3-1 in the shootout.
USA were twice pegged back but it took Homare Sawa to
equalise three minutes from the end of extra time to force
penalties.
USA created numerous goalscoring opportunities throughout
the match but Aya Miyama's goal nine minutes from the
end of the 90 minutes forced extra time, after Alex Morgan
had given the Stars and Stripes the lead on 69 minutes. Abby
Wambach seemed set to have scored the winner on 104 minutes
until Sawa's late intervention.
Dick Shoup sent a note with the time or the winning moment,
and we agreed that the GCP event should be a 2-hour period, approximately the
whole game. The final goal was at 21:21, and going back 2
hours gives a beginning at 19:21 UTC.
The result is Chisquare 7172.512 on 7200 df, for p = 0.589
and Z = -0.224
It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny
statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish
signal from noise. This means that every "success" might be
largely driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real
signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can
be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of
similar analyses.
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