Winter Olympics 2014, Opening Ceremonies
Standard analysis
(CNN) -- With lights, floats and flying, Russia kicked off the opening ceremony in Sochi as the world turns its attention to the costliest Olympic Games in history.
Spectators from all over the world watched the introduction of athletes that marked the official start of the Winter Olympics.
Light shows and music, lots of it, filled the air, starting at exactly 8:14 p.m. local time, or 20:14 in military time.
“Most of the ceremony focuses heavily on Russian classical music,” said Konstantin Ernst, the main creative producer of the ceremony.
“Unfortunately, unlike London, we cannot boast a plethora of famous world-known pop performers. This is why we are now focusing on what Russia is best known for musically around the world; namely, classical music.”
The GCP event was set using previous years for the model. Most were 4 hours beginning somewhat before the ceremony. For 2014 we use 4 hours beginning at 8 pm local time, 14 minutes before the official beginning. The result is Chisquare 14541 on 14400 df, for p = 0.202 and Z = 0.834
The first half hour of the ceremonies shows a very impressive deviation, which is displayed in the following exploratory graph.
Standard Caveat: It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish signal from noise. This means that every “success” might be largely driven by chance, and every “null” might include a real signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of similar analyses.
